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| Each season, ASFL2 will run Super Bowl Pools and BCS National Championship Game Pools. For those unfamiliar, these are pools made of a grid of 100 boxes with each box having a set cost. There is no limit to the number of boxes you can purchase in any one pool or throughout all ASFL2 pools. Only money received by the league for a pool will be used to pay winnings, any vacant boxes will go to the "house". Your box(es) will represent the last digit of each team's game score during the game for which the pool is made. On the pool page, one of the two teams participating will be across the top with the other team on the vertical axis with a row or column then designated with a number for each team. If you have 7 for team A and 4 for team B. You want team A to lead team B 17-14, 27-14, 27-24 or anything else along those lines at the end of each quarter and at the end of the game to win part of the pool's pot of money. In order for a pool to take place, at least half of the boxes must be sold. For each game there will be two different types of pools- random or odds-based. If you sign up for a random pool, your designated box(es) will be determined once the deadline for sign-ups has passed and your money has been received. If you sign up for an odds-based pool, you will be able to choose your box, but the prices will be different for each box based on historical results. There will be $1 or $5/box randomized pools and $1 base or $5 base odds-based pools. Three percent of funds received will remain with the league to offset costs associated. |
To determine the cost of a box in an odds-based pool, the frequency of each score's occurance after each quarter is taken into account. This information can be found via this link, in the form of percentages. From that data, the amount of instances for a score is determined and then multiplied by the percentage of the payout the quarter is worth. This is done for frequencies after each quarter and then totaled before adjusting to factor each score out of 100 boxes instead of the total number of scores in Super Bowl history. For Super Bowl 45, there will have been 88 scores taken into account- two per team for 44 Super Bowls. Example: AFC team score ending in "0" & NFC team score ending in "7": Frequency after first quarter: 8 times in Super Bowl history multiplied by 0.15 (15% is the pay out for the first quarter) = 1.20 Frequency after second quarter: 5 times x 0.25 = 1.25 Frequency after third quarter: 5 times x 0.15 = 0.75 Frequency of final score: 4 times x 0.45 = 1.80 Sum of total for each quarter: 5.00 Number of Scores in Super Bowl History: 88 (as of 2011, 44 times two teams) Number of Boxes in each Super Bowl Pool: 100 Base Price: Box Sum/Number of Scores = (5.00/88) = 0.0568 multiplied by the number of boxes (100) = $5.68. Multiplied by five for $5-base Pools: $28.41. If a score has never occured in the history of the Super Bowl after any quarter, its price is $0.10. For 2011, there are 31 boxes that have never previously been accounted for in a Super Bowl. These adds an extra $15.50 to any $5-base pool and $3.10 to any $1-base pool. |
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